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Ryan

20.0 FLOOD IN APRIL 2008 ROSE TO 20.81 FEET. PORTIONS OF OLD TOWN FLOODED. SPRING STREET FLOODED. WATER UNDER MOST ELEVATED HOMES ALONG THE RIVER BANK.

18.0 LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. HOMES AND BUSINESSES ALONG THE RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES WILL BE FLOODED.

16.0 SERIOUS FLOODING IN FULTON AND SHARP COUNTIES ALONG THE RIVER. DANGEROUS SITUATION WITH SWIFT WATER RUNNING THROUGH CAMPGROUND AND UNDER HOMES ALONG THE RIVER. SEPTEMBER 2006 FLOOD CRESTED AT 16.8 FEET. LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.

14.0 HOMES ON PILINGS ALONG THE RIVERBANK HAVE WATER UNDER THEM. RIVER BEND CAMPGROUND AND OTHER LOW LYING RECREATIONAL FACILITIES ARE FLOODED.

12.0 SOME FLOODING IN THE CITY PARK AND IN RIVER BEND CAMPGROUND. WATER MAY BE NEAR HOMES ALONG THE RIVERBANK.

10.0 WATER IS BREAKING OUT OF THE BANKS AND FLOODING LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.

As you may know, the Vaughans love carving pumpkins! Here are our pumpkins this year! My wife did the Autobots one, we shared the work on Scooby, and "Hello" is my masterpiece! Anyone know who it is?

If you want to see our pumpkins from previous years, there is a dropdown on the right side of the blog to go to Octobers of 2007, 2006, and 2005...

Happy Halloween!
Ryan

PS- If you can't figure out the third pumpkin, CLICK HERE.

It's not even November and we are the 8th wettest year on RECORD! The HPC (Hydrological Prediction Center) is forecasting 5"+ of rain across Region 8 over the next 48 hours. If that happens, we will go up to #3 and maybe even #2. As of right now, we are at 61.50" Here's the Top 10 Wettest years on record:

1. 72.18" 1957
2. 66.35" 1937
3. 65.39" 1973
4. 65.33" 1906
5. 64.21" 1898
6. 63.75" 1927
7. 62.19" 1945
8. 59.18" 1923
9. 55.73" 1921
10. 55.38" 1970

Stay Dry!
Ryan

We all know that I do not control the weather, BUT it's been hard to look farmers in the eye recently. This weather has been HORRIBLE for them. Wet during planting, HOT during June, and wet and cool during the hot season. Now, it's past time to harvest and it's still too wet in some fields. With that said, I have more bad news....

This week looks wet! While some cutting and picking can still be done on Monday, Tuesday is looking wet! THEN, more rain will come on Thursday night into Friday! Before we end this week, we may have 4-5" added to our totals!!! We are already up to the 8th wettest year on record and it is only October! I fully expect to move up a few slots by next weekend. The above image is the 5-Day precip forecast from NOAA.

Farmers are going to be working hard on Monday. If you see them out and about this week when it is raining, give them a hug!

Ryan

It's a fuzzy cell phone picture, but this is the scene of a double-fatal accident on Highway 49 this evening. I encountered it on my way home. It appears that a truck ran into the back of another car and spun it off of the road. The driver of the truck was transported and was not doing so good, from what I was told. I am not sure which car the fatalities came from... My prayers go out to both families.

This was actually the second wreck I encountered on my 15 minute drive home. The first did not have any ambulances, so hopefully everyone was ok. It was on Highway 358.

FINALLY, the oddest thing of the night came over the radio scanners in the StormTRACKER. A couple had called the Sheriff's Department after finding a toddler in the middle of the road on Highway 141! It's 11:00 PM on a very rainy night and we have a toddler on the highway.... There are several things I want to say, but I won't. I'm sure you have the same feelings.

There are families in deep pain tonight. It really makes me appreciate the family I have and makes the little things I worry about seem silly.

By the way, as of right now... the toddler is riding around with a Greene County deputy. He's trying to tell them which house is his.

Ryan

Edit- This morning I learned that the victims in the accident were young. For some reason, seeing young people die is harder. My thoughts and prayers go out to the families of Candace Scott and Tyler Tritch. Also, Seth Tripod was transported to the hospital. I'm not sure about his condition at this time, but please pray for him and his family. Seth graduated from GCT last year and was the starting QB. I've met him several times while shooting football for GCT. Good kid.

Rain is to blame according to the State Police report.

So what rocks in your life? Hopefully a lot of things ROCK. If not, get some rocks in your life. Jesus called Simon by a different name.... Peter. The name Peter comes from "Petra" or Πέτρα or Rock. For the record, Peter rocked too.

Have a great Saturday,
Ryan

• It would be sunny and 75° today.
• I'd be rediculously rich.
• We would never have ice storms.
• I'd take bribes for snow from kids and teachers.

If we start to see a little sunshine, it will promote MORE sunshine. We just need to get the atmosphere stirred up a bit.

With that said, it's a tough forecast. Will we see clouds or clearing? If we clear out, how much warmer will that make the temperatures? Regardless, it will still be a little chilly!

Ryan

I'm going to be watching the current conditions, visible satellite, and the special lunchtime wx balloon (sounding) in Little Rock today. You can check the statewide currents by clicking here. As of noon, we already had some juicy air, with 70°+ dewpoints overspreading the state. Clouds were breaking up and temperatures were into the upper 70s and low 80s! In addition, low level winds are increasing. Harrison already had wind gusts to 30 mph.

Below is a nerdy weather program we use called BUFKIT. This is the morning run of the NAM model. A few things to note for this evening... First, CAPE is over 2000. Anything over 1500 would concern me today. EHI is a combination index of shear and instability. Anything over 2-3 would concern me today and it is up to 7. Finally, the old classic "Lifted Index" is down to -6 or-7... anything under -3 or -4 is a red flag. IF, and I did say IF this happened... severe weather would be likely. We'll continue to watch everything unfold and I will update my Twitter feed on the right side of my blog...

Before I sign off, SPC has issued their new outlook. 10% chance of tornadoes has been noted in Region 8. That may not seem that high, but it is when referring to a tornado threat! The blue "hatched" area is a 10% or greater probability of tornadoes EF2 or greater from 25 miles of any given point. That's comforting, right?
I'll be updating Twitter through the day unless we have to go on air.

Stay tuned,
Ryan

PS-Sun just peaked out at my house!

NASA has a collision with the moon scheduled for Friday morning! If we did not have clouds and rain in the forecast for Region 8, I would encourage everyone to grab a telescope and check it out. Instead, we will have to watch it on NASA TV.

I could ramble on about what I have learned about the mission on the blog, but it's probably better to just send you to NASA for the full summary. Click here to read about the mission.

You can watch it Friday morning on NASA TV at 5:30 AM and coverage starts at 5:00 AM. Here's the link to NASA TV: http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/nasatv/index.html

Ryan

As a young boy, I LOVED playing cars! I bet I had 200 cars. In addition to cars, I had cities, railroad tracks, and ramps to go with the cars. A few years ago, my mom surprised me by giving us some of my old cars and a fold-up city. My boys play with that city these days, just like I did when I was a young boy. While playing "city" with my youngest son today, I noticed this old fire truck. I can remember playing with this exact car when I was his age! As you can tell, it's been called out on a few fires! I'm shocked that it's still around... and drivable!